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Reader don't drastically improve a defense that ranked worst in the league in yards per play allowed (6.09).The Browns could win the Super Bowl if new coach Kevin Stefanski is exactly what quarterback Baker Mayfield and receiver Odell Beckham Jr. need to blossom into one of the top QB-WR duos in the league, and a fairly talented roster lives up to the hype that it drew last offseason.The Browns won't win the Super Bowl unless Mayfield is elite, the defense doesn't do a better job of clamping offenses in the red zone, and they don't finish on the opposite end of the turnover margin (-8 in 2019, ranked 26th) scale.The Ravens could win the Super Bowl if quarterback Lamar Jackson doesn't drop off, newly acquired rusher Calais Campbell bolsters a pass rush that ranked 21st in the NFL with 37 sacks, and the rushing offense remains as productive as it was last year.The Ravens won't win the Super Bowl if Jackson regresses or gets hurt, and the team's loss against the Titans in the divisional round of last year's playoffs proves to be an indicator of problems in stopping the run after Derrick Henry dominated with 195 yards.The Steelers could win the Super Bowl if quarterback Ben Roethlisberger returns to form after missing last season with a throwing elbow injury, they capitalize on their trips inside the 20 (Pittsburgh ranked last in red zone efficiency at 35%), and linebacker T.J. Watt wins defensive player of the year on a revitalized unit.The Steelers won't win the Super Bowl if Roethlisberger doesn't play at previous levels, receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster doesn't have a monster bounce-back season, and the team doesn't fix its third-down struggles (converting just 34.36% of attempts).The Colts could win the Super Bowl if the offensive line remains dominant, marquee free-agency signing quarterback Philip Rivers finds the fountain of youth with coach Frank Reich, and the defense finally finds some consistency, especially in the secondary.The Colts won't win the Super Bowl if Rivers and Reich can't match the success they had while Reich was the offensive coordinator with the Chargers in 2014-15, the secondary continues to get gashed for big plays, and the offensive line doesn't open up holes in the rushing game.The Jaguars could win the Super Bowl if quarterback Gardner Minshew has an all-world performance, a sorely depleted roster just happens to be a group of unknown and inexperienced stars, and if miracles happen.The Jaguars won't win the Super Bowl even if Minshew has a monster season, but a talent deficiency is far too much to overcome.The Texans could win the Super Bowl if quarterback Deshaun Watson enters the MVP race with a season loaded with career-highs, the offensive line actually protects him, and coach Bill O'Brien and the rest of the staff avoids critical game management errors.The Texans won't win the Super Bowl if Watson, who has been sacked 120 times over the last two years – 14 more than the next closest player – continues to remain under duress, the departure of receiver DeAndre Hopkins is too big to make up for, and the defense, under new defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver, ranks last again in red zone efficiency (71.43%).The Titans could win the Super Bowl if running back Derrick Henry plays like the offensive player of the year, quarterback Ryan Tannehill proves last year wasn't a fluke and makes more plays when called to do so, and the defense does more than bend but not break.The Titans won't win the Super Bowl if their remarkable red zone efficiency from last season (75.56%) and goal-to-go offense (88%) takes a serious step backward, Tannehill can't win games when defenses stifle Henry, and the pass rush remains average.The Broncos could win the Super Bowl if quarterback Drew Lock leads the offense to unexpected levels in his second season, the receiver combo of rookie Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton becomes one of the best in the league, and running back Melvin Gordon stays healthy and is a threat on the ground and in the passing game.The Broncos won't win the Super Bowl if Lock doesn't take drastic strides, the team cannot overcome the loss of edge rusher Von Miller, who suffered an apparent season-ending ankle injury Tuesday, and they don't improve on their sixth-ranked 17 giveaways from last season.The Chargers could win the Super Bowl if Tyrod Taylor serves as more than just a bridge quarterback with rookie Justin Herbert waiting in the wings, running back Austin Ekeler makes fans forget about Melvin Gordon, and the defense goes from being respectable to being elite.The Chargers won't win the Super Bowl if their defense cannot make up for the loss of 2018 first-team All-Pro safety Derwin James (out for season with right knee injury), and the notoriously efficient Taylor doesn't do more than simply protect the ball.The Chiefs could repeat as Super Bowl champions if Patrick Mahomes simply stays the course and makes gradual improvements to his game, rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire becomes a force, and the defense continues to make strides under coordinator Steve Spagnuolo.The Chiefs won't win the Super Bowl if they have a letdown from last season, the secondary becomes a problem that a potent offense can't mask, and a pass rush that was just slightly above average doesn't post gains.The Raiders could win the Super Bowl if quarterback Derek Carr improves on his decision making and takes a massive leap, the team's young weapons, second-year running back Josh Jacobs and rookie receiver Henry Ruggs III become dominant, and the pass rush finally breaks through.The Raiders won't win the Super Bowl if Carr's play remains the same, the pass rush can't seem to rebound since the 2018 trade of Khalil Mack to the Bears, and the defense doesn't improve off of its 24th-ranked scoring defense (26.2).The Cowboys could win the Super Bowl if new coach Mike McCarthy's offense clicks right away with quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott, receiver CeeDee Lamb takes off in a performance worthy of offensive rookie of the year, and if the defense gets a second reliable pass rusher to compliment Demarcus Lawrence.The Cowboys won't win the Super Bowl if the secondary blows coverages and allows opponents to outscore Prescott and Co., depth at safety continues to plague the team, and McCarthy's scheme either doesn't work or takes too long to get going.The Eagles could win the Super Bowl if quarterback Carson Wentz stays healthy and plays as he did in 2017 before he tore his ACL, season-ending injuries to starting offensive linemen Brandon Brooks (Achilles) and Andre Dillard (biceps) are minimized, and the team's rebuilt secondary makes fans forget about the many blown coverages of 2019.The Eagles won't win the Super Bowl if Wentz misses time, promising young running back Miles Sanders doesn't take the step to become a consistent dual weapon, and the receiving corps doesn't produce more reliably.Washington could win the Super Bowl if quarterback Dwayne Haskins elevates his play significantly, the talented defensive front becomes one of the top pass rushing groups in the NFL, and the team overcomes reports of internal dysfunction and organizational failures on the front office side from the offseason.Washington won't win the Super Bowl if Haskins doesn't improve on his 58.62% completion rate and takes better care of the ball, if the receiving that lacks star talent struggles, and if the league's 31st-ranked rushing defense (146.2) from 2019 doesn't become a strength.The Giants could win the Super Bowl if quarterback Daniel Jones owns the offense and does far more than simply manage games, running back Saquon Barkley wins the league MVP after a workhorse season, and new coach Joe Judge implements a culture that gets an unprecedented amount of production from a fairly talent-lacking defense.The Giants won't win the Super Bowl if they don't massively reverse their minus-17 turnover differential that tied them for worst in the NFL, Jones doesn't enter the top tier of passers, and if a leaky defense continues to allow an unsustainable amount of yardage.The Bears could win the Super Bowl if quarterback Mitchell Trubisky resurrects his career and becomes a dependable and efficient passer, a pass rush that has Khalil Mack and new signing Robert Quinn generates more than a sack on just 5.6% of pass attempts, and coach Matt Nagy's offensive schemes run without a hitch.The Bears won't win the Super Bowl if Trubisky doesn't take control of the offense and cedes the job to Nick Foles, Quinn disappoints, and an offense that gained a 31st-ranked 4.66 yards a play sputters yet again.The Lions could win the Super Bowl if the offense doesn't drastically improve on a woeful goal-to-go offense that scored touchdowns just 58.33% (29th) of the time, they don't get more out of a pass rush that ranked second-to-last in sack rate (4.58%) and quarterback Matthew Stafford plays like an MVP.The Lions won't win the Super Bowl if rookie No.
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